Friday, 22 July 2016

Key benchmarks hover near flat line

Key benchmark indices trimmed losses in mid-morning trade. At 11:16 IST, the barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was down 12.37 points or 0.04% at 27,698.15. The Nifty 50 index was currently down 1.20 points or 0.01% at 8,508.90. The Sensex fell 64.31 points, or 0.23% at the day's low of 27,646.21 in mid-morning trade, its lowest level since 19 July 2016. The index rose 53.67 points, or 0.19% at the day's high of 27,764.19 at the onset of trading session. The Nifty fell 20.30 points, or 0.24% at the day's low of 8,489.80 in early trade, its lowest level since 19 July 2016. The index rose 15.30 points, or 0.18% at the day's high of 8,525.40 at the onset of trading session.

The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market was positive. On BSE, 1,285 shares rose and 908 shares fell. A total of 169 shares were unchanged. The BSE Mid-Cap index was currently up 0.6%. The BSE Small-Cap index was currently up 0.55%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.


In overseas stocks markets, Japanese stocks led losses for Asian equities after Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda dashed hopes for so-called helicopter money or ultra-aggressive easing measures. The Nikkei 225 was currently off 1.32%. According to a media interview, recorded mid-June but broadcast yesterday, 21 July 2016, Kuroda ruled out the idea of using helicopter money -- or directly underwriting the budget deficit -- to combat deflation. The BOJ is scheduled to review monetary policy at a two-day meeting on 28-29 July 2016. US stocks edged lower yesterday, 21 July 2016, with the Dow Industrial Average snapping a nine-day string of gains, as a hot equity market cooled ahead of key central-bank meetings across the globe.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) held rates unchanged after a monetary policy review yesterday, 21 July 2016, and emphasized that it intends to keep rates at current or lower levels for an extended period and that its program of monthly bond buys would run until at least March 2017, and possibly beyond.

Stocks of companies involved in oil exploration & production activities witnessed mixed trend. ONGC (down 0.11%) and Oil India (down 0.04%), edged lower. Reliance Industries was up 0.45%.

In the global commodities markets, Brent futures for September settlement were currently up 8 cents at $46.28 a barrel. The contract had fallen 97 cents or 2.06% to settle at $46.20 a barrel during the previous trading session.

Cairn India rose 2.58% to Rs 181.15 after the company reported a surge in bottom line on sequential basis in Q1 June 2016. Cairn India's normalised net profit jumped 88% to Rs 360 crore on 10% rise in net revenue to Rs 1885 crore in Q1 June 2016 over Q4 March 2016. Revenue increased on account of a significant rise in Brent crude prices on sequential basis. Net profit rose sequentially driven by higher EBITDA but was partly offset by higher depreciation, depletion and amortization (DD&A) charges and forex losses.

Mr Sudhir Mathur, CFO and acting CEO of Cairn India said that the company delivered a resilient performance, registering 88% increase in profit for the quarter on sequential basis. The company has taken significant measures to drive cost efficiency and rationalize capital investment, resulting in free cash generation in a lower-for-longer oil price environment.

Cairn India said that it will remain focused on monetizing its Rajasthan resource base in FY 2017. An estimated net capex spend of $100 million is proposed for FY 2017, 20% of which is for exploration while balance will be invested primarily to develop RDG Gas and for completion activities of Mangala EOR. The aim will be to maintain production from Rajasthan asset at FY 2016 level. Efforts are underway to further improve the economics of key projects that includes Bhagyam & Aishwariya EOR, Barmer Hill and Satellite fields, at low oil price and invest in their pre-development activities to ensure project readiness for development with grant of extension of PSC. The company maintains its flexibility to raise capital investment as oil prices improve and aims to generate a healthy cash flow post capex so as to retain the ability to pay dividends.

Shares of most public sector oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs) declined. BPCL (down 0.98%) and HPCL (down 0.19%), edged lower. Indian Oil Corporation was up 0.13%.

Aviation stocks edged higher after crude oil prices declined overnight. Jet Airways India (up 1.43%), SpiceJet (up 1.28%) and InterGlobe Aviation (up 1.23%) edged higher. Lower crude oil prices benefit aviation firms as jet fuel prices, which typically constitute about 50% of airlines' operating costs, are directly linked to international crude oil prices.

Metal shares were mixed. JSW Steel (down 0.8%), Hindustan Copper (down 0.72%), Hindalco Industries (down 0.71%), Tata Steel (down 0.68%), Bhushan Steel (down 0.48%) and Steel Authority of India (down 0.11%), edged lower. Hindustan Zinc (up 0.54%), Jindal Steel & Power (up 0.81%), NMDC (up 1.15%), National Aluminium Company (up 1.47%) and Vedanta (up 2%), edged higher.

Meanwhile, copper price edged lower in the global commodities markets. High Grade Copper for September 2016 delivery was currently down 0.44% at $2.2485 per pound on the COMEX.
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